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【学术讲座-“相约星期五”学术沙龙】Robust backtests for Expected Shortfall

发布日期:2022-11-09 12:17:30   来源:统计与数学学院   点击量:

报告主题:Robust backtests for Expected Shortfall

时间:2022年11月11日13:00-13:45

地点:腾讯会议-会议号:369 2414 5327 密码:6666

报告人王旭慧

报告内容简介:

Since 2016, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has regulated banks to switch from a Value-at-Risk (VaR) to an Expected Shortfall (ES) approach to measuring the market risk and calculating the capital requirement. In the transition from VaR to ES, the major challenge faced by financial institutions is the lack of simple but powerful tools for evaluating ES forecasts (i.e., backtesting ES). The best available backtest for ES builds on the assumption of the correct specification of the conditional tail distribution, which itself is stronger than the assumption of the correct specification of ES. In this paper we propose some new backtests for ES without assuming the correct specification of the tail distribution. We establish the asymptotic properties of the tests, and investigate their finite sample performance through some Monte Carlo simulations. An empirical application to stock indices data highlights the merits of our tests.
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